La importancia del consumo energético en el desarrollo económico de Ecuador
The importance of energy consumption in the economic development of Ecuador
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.56712/latam.v6i2.3671Palabras clave:
consumo energético, crecimiento económico, energías renovables, infraestructura energéticaResumen
La diversificación de la matriz energética y la inversión en energías renovables impactan en el desarrollo económico del país. Este estudio analiza la relación entre el consumo energético y el desarrollo económico de Ecuador entre 1990 y 2024. Se utilizó un enfoque econométrico con un modelo de Mínimos Cuadrados Ordinarios (MCO), empleando datos del Banco Central del Ecuador y la Agencia Internacional de Energía. Los resultados indican que el consumo total de energía no siempre impulsa el crecimiento económico de manera proporcional, debido a ineficiencias y la dependencia de combustibles fósiles. En contraste, la inversión en energías renovables tiene un impacto positivo y significativo en el PIB per cápita, lo que resalta la importancia de la transición energética. Además, la inversión en infraestructura energética mejora el acceso a la electricidad y la competitividad industrial. Se observó que los precios de la energía afectan negativamente el crecimiento económico, lo que subraya la necesidad de políticas de estabilidad tarifaria. La investigación sugiere que Ecuador debe diversificar su matriz energética con fuentes renovables y mejorar la eficiencia en el consumo para lograr un crecimiento sostenible. En conclusión, se recomienda una combinación de políticas que fomenten la inversión en energías limpias, la infraestructura energética y la estabilidad de precios, garantizando así el desarrollo económico y la sostenibilidad ambiental del país.
Descargas
Citas
Ali, H. S., Nathaniel, S. P., Uzuner, G., Bekun, F. V., & Sarkodie, S. A. (2020). Trivariate modelling of the nexus between electricity consumption, urbanization and economic growth in Nigeria: fresh insights from Maki Cointegration and causality tests. Heliyon, 6(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e03400 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e03400
Arroyo M, F. R., & Miguel, L. J. (2020). The role of renewable energies for the sustainable energy governance and environmental policies for the mitigation of climate change in Ecuador. Energies, 13(15), 3883. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13153883 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en13153883
Atiaja, J., Arroyo, F., Hidalgo, V., Erazo, J., Remache, A., & Bravo, D. (2024). Dynamic Simulation of Energy Scenarios in the Transition to Sustainable Mobility in the Ecuadorian Transport Sector. Sustainability, 16(15), 6640. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16156640 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su16156640
Castro-Cárdenas, C., & Ibarra-Yunez, A. (2023). Understanding the link between energy poverty and economic growth in Latin America. Contaduría y Administración, 68(2). http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/fca.24488410e.2023.4629 DOI: https://doi.org/10.22201/fca.24488410e.2023.4629
Chen, C., Pinar, M., & Stengos, T. (2020). Renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a threshold model. Energy Policy, 139, 111295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111295 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111295
Chiriboga, G., Chamba, R., Garcia, A., Heredia-Fonseca, R., & Montero-Calderón, C. (2023). Useful energy is a meaningful approach to building the decarbonization: A case of study of the Ecuadorian transport sector. Transport Policy, 132, 76-87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.12.019 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.12.019
Cueva-Rodríguez, L., & Jácome-Estrella, H. D. J. (2024). Service sector labor productivity and economic growth in Ecuador. Problemas del Desarrollo, 55(216), 113-139. https://doi.org/10.22201/iiec.20078951e.2024.216.70085 DOI: https://doi.org/10.22201/iiec.20078951e.2024.216.70085
Giraldo, J. L., Rodríguez-Crespo, E., & Salazar-Elena, J. C. (2024). The ImpacT of RegulaTIon on envIRonmenTal peRfoRmance: an analysIs foR euRopean counTRIes. Revista de Economía Mundial, (66), 109-128. https://doi.org/10.33776/rem.vi66.8051 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33776/rem.vi66.8051
Icaza, D., Borge-Diez, D., & Galindo, S. P. (2021). Proposal of 100% renewable energy production for the City of Cuenca-Ecuador by 2050. Renewable Energy, 170, 1324-1341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.02.067 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.02.067
Jaramillo, M., & Carrión, D. (2022). An Adaptive Strategy for Medium-Term Electricity Consumption Forecasting for Highly Unpredictable Scenarios: Case Study Quito, Ecuador during the Two First Years of COVID-19. Energies, 15(22), 8380. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15228380 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15228380
León, M., & González, M. D. L. O. B. (2022). Política Monetaria: efectos de la disminución de los Tipos de Interés de la Reserva Federal en economías dolarizadas (EEUU, Ecuador, El Salvador y Panamá). Revista de Economía Mundial, (61), 137-158. http://dx.doi.org/10.33776/rem.v0i61.5268 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33776/rem.v0i61.5268
Martínez, A. P., Jara-Alvear, J., Andrade, R. J., & Icaza, D. (2023). Sustainable development indicators for electric power generation companies in Ecuador: A case study. Utilities Policy, 81, 101493. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2023.101493 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jup.2023.101493
Navarro, C. E. B., Álvarez-Quiroz, V. J., Sampi, J., & Sánchez, A. A. A. (2023). Does economic growth promote electric power consumption? Implications for electricity conservation, expansive, and security policies. The Electricity Journal, 36(1), 107235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tej.2023.107235 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tej.2023.107235
Pinzón, K. (2018). Dynamics between energy consumption and economic growth in Ecuador: A granger causality analysis. Economic Analysis and Policy, 57, 88-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2017.09.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2017.09.004
Ponce, P., Álvarez-García, J., Medina, J., & del Río-Rama, M. D. L. C. (2021). Financial development, clean energy, and human capital: roadmap towards sustainable growth in América Latina. Energies, 14(13), 3763. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14133763 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en14133763
Pontarollo, N., & Muñoz, R. M. (2020). Land consumption and income in Ecuador: A case of an inverted environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological indicators, 108, 105699. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105699 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105699
Porras, F., Walter, A., Soriano, G., & Ramirez, A. D. (2023). On the adoption of stricter energy efficiency standards for residential air conditioners: Case study Guayaquil, Ecuador. Heliyon, 9(3). Recuperado de https://www.cell.com/heliyon/fulltext/S2405-8440(23)01100-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e13893
Rahman, M. M. (2020). Environmental degradation: The role of electricity consumption, economic growth and globalisation. Journal of environmental management, 253, 109742. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109742
Rajaguru, G., & Khan, S. U. (2021). Causality between energy consumption and economic growth in the presence of growth volatility: Multi-country evidence. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(10), 471. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100471 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100471
Rivera-González, L., Bolonio, D., Mazadiego, L. F., Naranjo-Silva, S., & Escobar-Segovia, K. (2020). Long-term forecast of energy and fuels demand towards a sustainable road transport sector in Ecuador (2016–2035): A LEAP model application. Sustainability, 12(2), 472. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12020472 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su12020472
Salazar-Núñez, H. F., Venegas-Martínez, F., & Tinoco Zermeño, M. Á. (2020). Impact of energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions on economic growth: Cointegrated panel data in 79 countries grouped by income level. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 10(2), 218-226. http://dx.doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.8783 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.8783
Sánchez, M., Toledo, E., & Ordóñez, J. (2020). The relevance of index of sustainable economic wellbeing. Case study of Ecuador. Environmental and sustainability indicators, 6, 100037. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2020.100037 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2020.100037
Usman, O., Iortile, I. B., & Ike, G. N. (2020). Enhancing sustainable electricity consumption in a large ecological reserve–based country: the role of democracy, ecological footprint, economic growth, and globalisation in Brazil. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 13370-13383. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07815-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07815-3
Wang, Z., Bui, Q., Zhang, B., Nawarathna, C. L. K., & Mombeuil, C. (2021). The nexus between renewable energy consumption and human development in BRICS countries: The moderating role of public debt. Renewable Energy, 165, 381-390. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.10.144. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.10.144